UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs MacDonald

1,826

CageRank

WINNER
MacDonald

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
89% chance MacDonald
WILL WIN

2,198

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rory MacDonald
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.8 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 29 years vs 34 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Kajan Johnson
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
MacDonald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rory
MacDonald
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
MacDonald has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
MacDonald is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against MacDonald’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kajan
Johnson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter MacDonald 8.2
fighter Johnson 6.8
Great knockouts by MacDonald
Round 2 Apr 21, 2012 vs Mills
Round 1 Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle
Round 2 Nov 28, 2008 vs French

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter MacDonald 7.5
fighter Johnson 8.0
Great submissions by Johnson
Round 1 Oct 07, 2011 vs Whitson
Round 2 Feb 27, 2009 vs Claveau
Round 1 Nov 08, 2008 vs Guillet

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter MacDonald 8.4
fighter Johnson 8.0
Fast finishes by MacDonald
440 seconds Apr 21, 2012 vs Mills
234 seconds Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle
267 seconds Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 15, 2007KOTC - Avalanche
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XR1 KO
1,6721,690
1,6251,738
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend MacDonald
legend Johnson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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