UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Johnson vs Light

1,826

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

1,539

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kajan Johnson
Much better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.0 More than 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.3 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 33 years vs 43 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Zach Light
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Light’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kajan
Johnson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Johnson has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Light on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Zach
Light
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Light is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Light is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Light is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 6.8
fighter Light 6.4
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 2 Nov 06, 2009 vs Russell
Round 1 Oct 11, 2008 vs Light
Round 1 Oct 15, 2005 vs Cummings

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.0
fighter Light 7.2
Great submissions by Johnson
Round 1 Oct 07, 2011 vs Whitson
Round 2 Feb 27, 2009 vs Claveau
Round 1 Nov 08, 2008 vs Guillet

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 8.0
fighter Light 7.2
Fast finishes by Johnson
232 seconds Oct 07, 2011 vs Whitson
482 seconds Feb 27, 2009 vs Claveau
52 seconds Nov 08, 2008 vs Guillet
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 11, 2008EFC 6
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,6791,540
1,7101,509
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Light
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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