UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brandao vs Poirier

1,827

CageRank

WINNER
Poirier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
78% chance Poirier
WILL WIN

2,052

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Poirier
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 174 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Diego Brandao
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Poirier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brandao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Poirier
In 9:17, how much damage will he do? Poirier Brandao
Significant Strikes61
Poirier's excellent striking offense will dominate Brandao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:17
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Poirier's average takedown offense is matched by Brandao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Poirier has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Poirier is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Poirier is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Brandao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Poirier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Brandao
In 9:17, how much damage will he do? Brandao Poirier
Significant Strikes44
Brandao's average striking offense is matched by Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:17
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Brandao's good takedown offense may be a factor against Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:17
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brandao is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brandao is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brandao is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Poirier 9.1
fighter Brandao 8.4
Great striking by Poirier
44 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
54 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Koch
77 strikes Jan 01, 2011 vs Grispi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Poirier 8.0
fighter Brandao 8.8
Great takedowns by Brandao
8 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Pineda
3 takedowns Oct 13, 2012 vs Gambino
1 takedown Dec 03, 2011 vs Bermudez

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Poirier 8.1
fighter Brandao 7.3
Great knockouts by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
Round 1 Nov 11, 2010 vs Micklewright
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs Gauthier

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Poirier 7.9
fighter Brandao 7.3
Great submissions by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Garza
Round 2 Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Poirier 8.7
fighter Brandao 7.8
Fast finishes by Poirier
294 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
255 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
534 seconds Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 28, 2013UFC 168
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XDEC
1,8961,974
1,8572,013
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Poirier
legend Brandao
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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