UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Herrig vs Kowalkiewicz

1,735

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Herrig

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
50% chance Herrig
WILL WIN

1,734

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Felice Herrig
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly taller 163 cm vs 160 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Herrig on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kowalkiewicz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Felice
Herrig
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herrig is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Herrig is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Herrig has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Kowalkiewicz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herrig’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Karolina
Kowalkiewicz
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kowalkiewicz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kowalkiewicz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Kowalkiewicz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Herrig 6.6
fighter Kowalkiewicz 7.2
Great knockouts by Kowalkiewicz
Round 1 May 18, 2012 vs Wojas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Herrig 6.8
fighter Kowalkiewicz 7.7
Great submissions by Kowalkiewicz
Round 1 May 17, 2014 vs Cive
Round 1 Jun 08, 2013 vs Chojnoska

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Herrig 6.9
fighter Kowalkiewicz 7.9
Fast finishes by Kowalkiewicz
233 seconds May 17, 2014 vs Cive
71 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Chojnoska
192 seconds May 18, 2012 vs Wojas
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 7, 2018UFC 223
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Herrig
legend Kowalkiewicz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus