UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Elliott vs Reis

1,773

CageRank

WINNER
Reis

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
74% chance Reis
WILL WIN

1,952

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Wilson Reis
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Timothy Elliott
Much heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.3 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller 170 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 30 years vs 32 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly longer reach 166 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Reis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Elliott’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Wilson
Reis
In 12:02, how much damage will he do? Reis Elliott
Significant Strikes51
Reis's average striking offense is matched by Elliott's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:02
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Reis's good takedown offense may be a factor against Elliott's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:02
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reis is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Reis has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Reis has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Elliott on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Timothy
Elliott
In 12:02, how much damage will he do? Elliott Reis
Significant Strikes60
Elliott's good striking offense may be a factor against Reis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:02
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Elliott's good takedown offense may be a factor against Reis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:02
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Elliott is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Elliott is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Elliott is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Reis 8.3
fighter Elliott 8.6
Great striking by Elliott
116 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Gaudinot
36 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Papazian

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Reis 8.8
fighter Elliott 8.8
Great takedowns by Elliott
6 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Gaudinot
7 takedowns Dec 15, 2012 vs Papazian

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Reis 6.3
fighter Elliott 7.2
Great knockouts by Elliott
Round 2 Dec 16, 2011 vs Pulver
Round 1 Feb 26, 2011 vs McDowell
Round 1 Dec 11, 2009 vs Veloquio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Reis 8.4
fighter Elliott 7.3
Great submissions by Reis
Round 3 Dec 08, 2012 vs Roddy
Round 1 Dec 16, 2011 vs Menezes
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs George

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Reis 7.7
fighter Elliott 7.7
Fast finishes by Reis
692 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs Roddy
200 seconds Dec 16, 2011 vs Menezes
129 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs George
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Reis
legend Elliott
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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