UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Donovan vs St. Preux

1,702

CageRank

WINNER
St. Preux

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance St. Preux
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ovince St. Preux
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.2 Around 30% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.0 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Cody Donovan
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
St. Preux on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Donovan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ovince
St. Preux
In 5:27, how much damage will he do? St. Preux Donovan
Significant Strikes29
St. Preux's good striking offense may be a factor against Donovan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:27
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
St. Preux's average takedown offense is matched by Donovan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Preux has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
St. Preux is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Preux is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Donovan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Preux’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cody
Donovan
In 5:27, how much damage will he do? Donovan St. Preux
Significant Strikes28
Donovan's good striking offense may be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:27
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Donovan's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Donovan is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Donovan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Donovan is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Preux 8.7
fighter Donovan 8.7
Great striking by Donovan
19 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Penner

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Preux 8.0
fighter Donovan 8.3
Great takedowns by Donovan
1 takedown Dec 15, 2012 vs Penner

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Preux 8.1
fighter Donovan 7.3
Great knockouts by St. Preux
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
Round 3 Aug 18, 2012 vs Cook
Round 1 Jul 24, 2010 vs Day

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Preux 7.9
fighter Donovan 7.4
Great submissions by St. Preux
Round 1 Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
Round 1 Apr 25, 2009 vs Mobley
Round 1 May 17, 2008 vs Cormier

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Preux 9.0
fighter Donovan 7.8
Fast finishes by St. Preux
127 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
72 seconds Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
8 seconds Jul 24, 2010 vs Day
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 17, 2013UFC Fight Night 26
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,8351,975
1,8042,005
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Preux
legend Donovan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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