UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bermudez vs Garza

2,055

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Bermudez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
85% chance Bermudez
WILL WIN

1,760

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dennis Bermudez
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.0 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Pablo Garza
Much taller 185 cm vs 168 cm More than 10% taller
Much longer reach 185 cm vs 168 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Bermudez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Garza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dennis
Bermudez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bermudez Garza
Significant Strikes76
Bermudez's good striking offense may be a factor against Garza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Bermudez's good takedown offense may be a factor against Garza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bermudez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bermudez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Bermudez has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Garza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bermudez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Pablo
Garza
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Garza Bermudez
Significant Strikes57
Garza's average striking offense is matched by Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Garza's average takedown offense is matched by Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Garza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Garza is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Garza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bermudez 8.8
fighter Garza 8.2
Great striking by Bermudez
44 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
73 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
120 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Grice

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bermudez 8.9
fighter Garza 8.1
Great takedowns by Bermudez
6 takedowns Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
4 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
8 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Garza

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bermudez 7.3
fighter Garza 7.0
Great knockouts by Bermudez
Round 1 Mar 12, 2010 vs Gurley
Round 1 Feb 07, 2010 vs Maciel de Oliveira
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Connor

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bermudez 7.5
fighter Garza 7.7
Great submissions by Garza
Round 1 Apr 30, 2011 vs Jabouin
Round 1 Dec 12, 2009 vs Wolff
Round 1 Aug 29, 2009 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bermudez 7.6
fighter Garza 7.8
Fast finishes by Garza
271 seconds Apr 30, 2011 vs Jabouin
51 seconds Dec 04, 2010 vs Paixao
53 seconds Aug 29, 2009 vs Jackson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 5, 2012UFC on Fox 3
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,6391,827
1,7141,752
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bermudez
legend Garza
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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