UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bermudez vs Stephens

2,055

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Bermudez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
61% chance Bermudez
WILL WIN

1,978

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dennis Bermudez
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Advantages for Jeremy Stephens
Much longer reach 180 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Bermudez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stephens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dennis
Bermudez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bermudez Stephens
Significant Strikes64
Bermudez's good striking offense is matched by Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Bermudez's good takedown offense is matched by Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bermudez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bermudez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bermudez has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Stephens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bermudez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Stephens
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Stephens Bermudez
Significant Strikes68
Stephens's average striking offense is matched by Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Stephens's average takedown offense is matched by Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stephens is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stephens is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bermudez 8.8
fighter Stephens 8.5
Great striking by Bermudez
44 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
73 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
120 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Grice

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bermudez 8.9
fighter Stephens 8.0
Great takedowns by Bermudez
6 takedowns Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
4 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
8 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Garza

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bermudez 7.3
fighter Stephens 8.2
Great knockouts by Stephens
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
Round 3 Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
Round 2 Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bermudez 7.5
fighter Stephens 6.5
Great submissions by Bermudez
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Hayden
Round 2 Feb 06, 2010 vs Seipel
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Taylor

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bermudez 7.6
fighter Stephens 8.0
Fast finishes by Stephens
40 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
753 seconds Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
584 seconds Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 11, 2015UFC 189
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bermudez
legend Stephens
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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