UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bermudez vs Grice

2,055

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Bermudez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
82% chance Bermudez
WILL WIN

1,790

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dennis Bermudez
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 30 years vs 36 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Matt Grice
Significantly longer reach 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Bermudez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grice’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dennis
Bermudez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bermudez Grice
Significant Strikes73
Bermudez's good striking offense may be a factor against Grice's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Bermudez's good takedown offense may be a factor against Grice's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bermudez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Bermudez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bermudez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Grice on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bermudez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Grice
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Grice Bermudez
Significant Strikes69
Grice's average striking offense is matched by Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Grice's average takedown offense is matched by Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grice is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grice is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grice is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bermudez 8.8
fighter Grice 8.6
Great striking by Bermudez
44 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
73 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
120 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Grice

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bermudez 8.9
fighter Grice 8.3
Great takedowns by Bermudez
6 takedowns Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
4 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
8 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Garza

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bermudez 7.3
fighter Grice 7.1
Great knockouts by Bermudez
Round 1 Mar 12, 2010 vs Gurley
Round 1 Feb 07, 2010 vs Maciel de Oliveira
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Connor

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bermudez 7.5
fighter Grice 7.4
Great submissions by Bermudez
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Hayden
Round 2 Feb 06, 2010 vs Seipel
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Taylor

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bermudez 7.6
fighter Grice 7.8
Fast finishes by Grice
271 seconds Sep 25, 2010 vs Schulte
181 seconds Jun 12, 2010 vs McAnally
60 seconds Nov 26, 2005 vs Long
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 23, 2013UFC 157
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 SUB
1,7671,852
1,8291,790
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bermudez
legend Grice
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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