UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bermudez vs Kawajiri

2,055

CageRank

WINNER
Kawajiri

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
58% chance Kawajiri
WILL WIN

2,112

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tatsuya Kawajiri
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Dennis Bermudez
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly younger 30 years vs 39 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Kawajiri on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bermudez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tatsuya
Kawajiri
In 10:52, how much damage will he do? Kawajiri Bermudez
Significant Strikes37
Kawajiri's average striking offense is matched by Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:52
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Kawajiri's excellent takedown offense will dominate Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:52
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kawajiri is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kawajiri has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kawajiri is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Bermudez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kawajiri’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dennis
Bermudez
In 10:52, how much damage will he do? Bermudez Kawajiri
Significant Strikes35
Bermudez's good striking offense won't be a factor against Kawajiri's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:52
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bermudez's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Kawajiri's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:52
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bermudez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bermudez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bermudez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Kawajiri 8.0
fighter Bermudez 8.8
Great striking by Bermudez
44 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
73 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
120 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Grice

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Kawajiri 9.2
fighter Bermudez 8.9
Great takedowns by Kawajiri
6 takedowns Dec 31, 2010 vs Thomson
5 takedowns Dec 31, 2009 vs Yokota
4 takedowns May 26, 2009 vs Cavalcante

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kawajiri 7.5
fighter Bermudez 7.3
Great knockouts by Kawajiri
Round 1 Jul 16, 2011 vs Fickett
Round 1 Oct 14, 2006 vs Eklund
Round 2 Dec 14, 2004 vs Ribeiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kawajiri 8.4
fighter Bermudez 7.5
Great submissions by Kawajiri
Round 1 Mar 31, 2012 vs Sanchez
Round 2 Dec 31, 2011 vs Miyata
Round 3 Sep 24, 2011 vs Hansen

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kawajiri 8.5
fighter Bermudez 7.6
Fast finishes by Kawajiri
750 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Hansen
8 seconds Feb 17, 2006 vs Hansen
491 seconds Dec 14, 2004 vs Ribeiro
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 21, 2016UFC Fight Night 83
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kawajiri
legend Bermudez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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