UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bermudez vs Hayden

2,055

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Bermudez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
91% chance Bermudez
WILL WIN

1,644

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dennis Bermudez
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Tommy Hayden
Significantly longer reach 183 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Bermudez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hayden’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dennis
Bermudez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bermudez Hayden
Significant Strikes77
Bermudez's good striking offense may be a factor against Hayden's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Bermudez's good takedown offense may be a factor against Hayden's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bermudez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Bermudez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Bermudez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hayden on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bermudez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tommy
Hayden
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hayden Bermudez
Significant Strikes56
Hayden's average striking offense is matched by Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Hayden's average takedown offense is matched by Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hayden is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hayden is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hayden is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bermudez 8.8
fighter Hayden 8.2
Great striking by Bermudez
44 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
73 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
120 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Grice

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bermudez 8.9
fighter Hayden 8.5
Great takedowns by Bermudez
6 takedowns Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
4 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
8 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Garza

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bermudez 7.3
fighter Hayden 7.1
Great knockouts by Bermudez
Round 1 Mar 12, 2010 vs Gurley
Round 1 Feb 07, 2010 vs Maciel de Oliveira
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Connor

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bermudez 7.5
fighter Hayden 7.5
Great submissions by Bermudez
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Hayden
Round 2 Feb 06, 2010 vs Seipel
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Taylor

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bermudez 7.6
fighter Hayden 7.8
Fast finishes by Hayden
135 seconds May 07, 2011 vs Johnson
410 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Baskis
767 seconds Jun 20, 2008 vs Coto
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 11, 2012UFC 150
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 SUB
1,7141,733
1,7671,680
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bermudez
legend Hayden
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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