UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Caraway vs Tate

1,963

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Caraway

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Caraway
WILL WIN

1,831

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Bryan Caraway
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 173 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better striker 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Miesha Tate
Heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Caraway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tate’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bryan
Caraway
In 10:54, how much damage will he do? Caraway Tate
Significant Strikes42
Caraway's average striking offense is matched by Tate's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:54
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Caraway's excellent takedown offense will dominate Tate's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:54
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Caraway is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Caraway has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Caraway is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Tate on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Caraway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Miesha
Tate
In 10:54, how much damage will she do? Tate Caraway
Significant Strikes34
Tate's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Caraway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:54
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Tate's good takedown offense is matched by Caraway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:54
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tate is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tate is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tate is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Caraway 8.2
fighter Tate 7.9
Great striking by Caraway
43 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Bedford
11 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Gagnon
23 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Neace

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Caraway 9.2
fighter Tate 9.0
Great takedowns by Caraway
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Bedford
3 takedowns Jul 21, 2012 vs Gagnon
1 takedown Jun 27, 2008 vs Cacdac

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Caraway 6.4
fighter Tate 6.8
Great knockouts by Tate
Round 2 Oct 03, 2009 vs Oriza
Round 1 Jan 31, 2009 vs Bednark
Round 1 Nov 29, 2008 vs Lynn Welsh

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Caraway 9.5
fighter Tate 7.8
Great submissions by Caraway
Round 3 Apr 27, 2013 vs Bedford
Round 3 Jul 21, 2012 vs Gagnon
Round 1 Feb 19, 2011 vs Weikel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Caraway 8.3
fighter Tate 7.4
Fast finishes by Caraway
884 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Bedford
197 seconds Feb 19, 2011 vs Weikel
235 seconds Oct 03, 2009 vs Pelczynski
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Caraway
legend Tate
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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