UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Caraway vs Bedford

1,963

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Caraway

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
72% chance Caraway
WILL WIN

1,801

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Bryan Caraway
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.6 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Johnny Bedford
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.4 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Caraway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bedford’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bryan
Caraway
In 9:55, how much damage will he do? Caraway Bedford
Significant Strikes35
Caraway's average striking offense is matched by Bedford's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:55
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Caraway's excellent takedown offense will dominate Bedford's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:55
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Caraway is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Caraway has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Caraway is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Bedford on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Caraway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johnny
Bedford
In 9:55, how much damage will he do? Bedford Caraway
Significant Strikes49
Bedford's good striking offense may be a factor against Caraway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:55
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bedford's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Caraway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bedford is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bedford is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bedford is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Caraway 8.2
fighter Bedford 8.7
Great striking by Bedford
34 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Vinicius
82 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Gaudinot

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Caraway 9.2
fighter Bedford 8.6
Great takedowns by Caraway
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Bedford
3 takedowns Jul 21, 2012 vs Gagnon
1 takedown Jun 27, 2008 vs Cacdac

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Caraway 6.4
fighter Bedford 7.7
Great knockouts by Bedford
Round 2 Dec 15, 2012 vs Vinicius
Round 3 Dec 03, 2011 vs Gaudinot
Round 2 Jul 21, 2007 vs Moore

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Caraway 9.5
fighter Bedford 7.6
Great submissions by Caraway
Round 3 Apr 27, 2013 vs Bedford
Round 3 Jul 21, 2012 vs Gagnon
Round 1 Feb 19, 2011 vs Weikel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Caraway 8.3
fighter Bedford 7.9
Fast finishes by Caraway
884 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Bedford
197 seconds Feb 19, 2011 vs Weikel
235 seconds Oct 03, 2009 vs Pelczynski
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 27, 2013UFC 159
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XR1 KO
1,8611,916
1,9191,858
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Caraway
legend Bedford
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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