UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Caraway vs Munhoz

1,963

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Caraway

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Caraway
WILL WIN

1,935

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Bryan Caraway
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Pedro Munhoz
Significantly heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.4 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Caraway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Munhoz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bryan
Caraway
In 11:09, how much damage will he do? Caraway Munhoz
Significant Strikes50
Caraway's average striking offense is matched by Munhoz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:09
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Caraway's excellent takedown offense will dominate Munhoz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:09
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Caraway is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Caraway has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Caraway is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Munhoz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Caraway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Pedro
Munhoz
In 11:09, how much damage will he do? Munhoz Caraway
Significant Strikes48
Munhoz's average striking offense is matched by Caraway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:09
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Munhoz's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Caraway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Munhoz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Munhoz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Munhoz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Caraway 9.2
fighter Munhoz 8.5
Great takedowns by Caraway
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Bedford
3 takedowns Jul 21, 2012 vs Gagnon
1 takedown Jun 27, 2008 vs Cacdac

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Caraway 6.4
fighter Munhoz 7.2
Great knockouts by Munhoz
Round 1 May 31, 2014 vs Hobar
Round 2 Sep 26, 2009 vs Matsumoto

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Caraway 9.5
fighter Munhoz 8.4
Great submissions by Caraway
Round 3 Apr 27, 2013 vs Bedford
Round 3 Jul 21, 2012 vs Gagnon
Round 1 Feb 19, 2011 vs Weikel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Caraway 8.3
fighter Munhoz 8.5
Fast finishes by Munhoz
41 seconds Jan 24, 2014 vs Daniels
289 seconds Jun 21, 2013 vs Jackson
147 seconds Nov 30, 2012 vs Kamery
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Caraway
legend Munhoz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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