UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Zingano vs McMann

1,937

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Zingano

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
60% chance Zingano
WILL WIN

1,865

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cat Zingano
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Sara McMann
Much better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Zingano on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McMann’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cat
Zingano
In 11:30, how much damage will he do? Zingano McMann
Significant Strikes55
Zingano's average striking offense is matched by McMann's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:30
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Zingano's average takedown offense won't be a factor against McMann's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Zingano has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Zingano is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Zingano is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
McMann on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Zingano’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sara
McMann
In 11:30, how much damage will she do? McMann Zingano
Significant Strikes57
McMann's average striking offense is matched by Zingano's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:30
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
McMann's good takedown offense may be a factor against Zingano's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:30
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McMann is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
McMann is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McMann is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Zingano 8.4
fighter McMann 8.6
Great striking by McMann
8 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Gaff
61 strikes Jul 28, 2012 vs Baszler
28 strikes Jan 21, 2012 vs Akano

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Zingano 8.6
fighter McMann 9.0
Great takedowns by McMann
2 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Gaff
4 takedowns Jul 28, 2012 vs Baszler
8 takedowns Jan 21, 2012 vs Akano

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Zingano 8.5
fighter McMann 7.3
Great knockouts by Zingano
Round 3 Apr 13, 2013 vs Tate
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Hashi
Round 2 Dec 10, 2010 vs Damm

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Zingano 7.7
fighter McMann 7.5
Great submissions by Zingano
Round 2 Oct 06, 2012 vs Pennington
Round 2 Jan 10, 2009 vs Samaro
Round 1 Apr 11, 2008 vs Macatol

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Zingano 8.0
fighter McMann 7.8
Fast finishes by Zingano
775 seconds Apr 13, 2013 vs Tate
512 seconds Oct 06, 2012 vs Pennington
517 seconds Dec 10, 2010 vs Damm
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Zingano
legend McMann
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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