UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Zingano vs Pena

1,937

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Zingano

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Zingano
WILL WIN

1,644

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cat Zingano
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Julianna Pena
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Zingano on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pena’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cat
Zingano
In 9:50, how much damage will he do? Zingano Pena
Significant Strikes41
Zingano's average striking offense is matched by Pena's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:50
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Zingano's average takedown offense is matched by Pena's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:50
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Zingano has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Zingano has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Zingano is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Pena on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Zingano’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Julianna
Pena
In 9:50, how much damage will he do? Pena Zingano
Significant Strikes48
Pena's average striking offense is matched by Zingano's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:50
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Pena's good takedown offense may be a factor against Zingano's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:50
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pena is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Pena is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pena is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Zingano 8.4
fighter Pena 8.6
Great striking by Pena
33 strikes Nov 30, 2013 vs Rakoczy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Zingano 8.6
fighter Pena 8.8
Great takedowns by Pena
2 takedowns Nov 30, 2013 vs Rakoczy

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Zingano 8.5
fighter Pena 7.2
Great knockouts by Zingano
Round 3 Apr 13, 2013 vs Tate
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Hashi
Round 2 Dec 10, 2010 vs Damm

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Zingano 7.7
fighter Pena 7.4
Great submissions by Zingano
Round 2 Oct 06, 2012 vs Pennington
Round 2 Jan 10, 2009 vs Samaro
Round 1 Apr 11, 2008 vs Macatol

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Zingano 8.0
fighter Pena 7.5
Fast finishes by Zingano
775 seconds Apr 13, 2013 vs Tate
512 seconds Oct 06, 2012 vs Pennington
517 seconds Dec 10, 2010 vs Damm
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 9, 2016UFC 200
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Zingano
legend Pena
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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