UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - De Fries vs Miocic

1,778

CageRank

WINNER
Miocic

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
87% chance Miocic
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 6.3 Around 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Philip De Fries
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 6.6 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against De Fries’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 5:48, how much damage will he do? Miocic De Fries
Significant Strikes39
Miocic's excellent striking offense will dominate De Fries's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 52 Significant Strikes in 5:48
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miocic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against De Fries's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:48
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
De Fries on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Philip
De Fries
In 5:48, how much damage will he do? De Fries Miocic
Significant Strikes25
De Fries's average striking offense is matched by Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 52 Significant Strikes in 5:48
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
De Fries's average takedown offense is matched by Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:48
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
De Fries is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
De Fries has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
De Fries is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter De Fries 8.3
Great striking by Miocic
63 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
106 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
32 strikes May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miocic 8.7
fighter De Fries 8.5
Great takedowns by Miocic
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
2 takedowns May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miocic 9.1
fighter De Fries 6.3
Great knockouts by Miocic
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
Round 1 Feb 16, 2008 vs Stansbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miocic 6.6
fighter De Fries 8.6
Great submissions by De Fries
Round 1 Dec 31, 2013 vs Rogers
Round 2 Aug 04, 2012 vs Thompson
Round 2 Jul 02, 2011 vs Economou

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter De Fries 8.1
Fast finishes by Miocic
494 seconds May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
43 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
567 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Brents
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 15, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 1
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,8441,940
1,8081,977
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miocic
legend De Fries
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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