UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Moraga vs Benavidez

1,891

CageRank

WINNER
Benavidez

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Benavidez
WILL WIN

2,082

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joseph Benavidez
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for John Moraga
Significantly longer reach 170 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 168 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Benavidez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraga’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joseph
Benavidez
In 9:43, how much damage will he do? Benavidez Moraga
Significant Strikes53
Benavidez's good striking offense may be a factor against Moraga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:43
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Benavidez's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Moraga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:43
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Benavidez has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Benavidez has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Benavidez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Moraga on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Benavidez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Moraga
In 9:43, how much damage will he do? Moraga Benavidez
Significant Strikes40
Moraga's average striking offense is matched by Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:43
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Moraga's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:43
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraga is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moraga is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Moraga is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Benavidez 8.8
fighter Moraga 8.6
Great striking by Benavidez
20 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
17 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
15 strikes Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Benavidez 7.8
fighter Moraga 8.1
Great takedowns by Moraga
2 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs Cariaso

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Moraga 6.8
Great knockouts by Benavidez
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
Round 2 Mar 03, 2012 vs Urushitani
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Moraga 7.6
Great submissions by Benavidez
Round 2 Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
Round 2 Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
Round 2 Jan 17, 2008 vs Georgianna

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Benavidez 8.6
fighter Moraga 7.5
Fast finishes by Benavidez
465 seconds Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
477 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
95 seconds Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 23, 2015UFC 187
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Benavidez
legend Moraga
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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