UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Moraga vs Scoggins

1,891

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Moraga

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
58% chance Moraga
WILL WIN

1,836

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for John Moraga
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.6 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Justin Scoggins
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.8 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly younger 26 years vs 34 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Moraga on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Scoggins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Moraga
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Moraga Scoggins
Significant Strikes65
Moraga's average striking offense is matched by Scoggins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Moraga's average takedown offense is matched by Scoggins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraga is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Moraga is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Moraga has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Scoggins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraga’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Scoggins
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Scoggins Moraga
Significant Strikes72
Scoggins's average striking offense is matched by Moraga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Scoggins's good takedown offense may be a factor against Moraga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Scoggins has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Scoggins is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Scoggins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Moraga 8.6
fighter Scoggins 8.5
Great striking by Moraga
43 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Ortiz
26 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs Cariaso
34 strikes Aug 04, 2012 vs Gomez

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Moraga 8.1
fighter Scoggins 8.8
Great takedowns by Scoggins
2 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Moraga 6.8
fighter Scoggins 8.5
Great knockouts by Scoggins
Round 1 Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik
Round 1 Mar 08, 2013 vs Cain
Round 5 Dec 07, 2012 vs Hebeisen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Moraga 7.6
fighter Scoggins 6.6
Great submissions by Moraga
Round 3 Dec 29, 2012 vs Cariaso
Round 1 Nov 05, 2011 vs Lux
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Halverson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Moraga 7.5
fighter Scoggins 8.0
Fast finishes by Scoggins
283 seconds Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik
237 seconds Mar 08, 2013 vs Cain
1425 seconds Dec 07, 2012 vs Hebeisen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 5, 2014UFC Fight Night 50
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Moraga
legend Scoggins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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