UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Moraga vs Pettis

1,891

CageRank

WINNER
Pettis

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
55% chance Pettis
WILL WIN

1,925

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sergio Pettis
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 23 years vs 32 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for John Moraga
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraga’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sergio
Pettis
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pettis Moraga
Significant Strikes73
Pettis's average striking offense is matched by Moraga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Pettis's average takedown offense is matched by Moraga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Pettis is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Moraga on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Moraga
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Moraga Pettis
Significant Strikes74
Moraga's average striking offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Moraga's average takedown offense may be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraga is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moraga has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Moraga is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pettis 8.6
fighter Moraga 8.6
Great striking by Pettis
81 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Campuzano

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.4
fighter Moraga 8.1
Great takedowns by Pettis
2 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Campuzano

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pettis 7.3
fighter Moraga 6.8
Great knockouts by Pettis
Round 1 Jun 21, 2013 vs Pegg
Round 2 Nov 18, 2011 vs Zelinski
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Winski

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pettis 7.3
fighter Moraga 7.6
Great submissions by Moraga
Round 3 Dec 29, 2012 vs Cariaso
Round 1 Nov 05, 2011 vs Lux
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Halverson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pettis 7.9
fighter Moraga 7.5
Fast finishes by Pettis
153 seconds Sep 28, 2013 vs Porter
51 seconds Jun 21, 2013 vs Pegg
232 seconds Jun 16, 2012 vs McKenna
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 15, 2017UFC Fight Night 103
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pettis
legend Moraga
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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