UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mitrione vs Hague

1,836

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mitrione

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Mitrione
WILL WIN

1,707

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Matt Mitrione
Better striker 8.7 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 208 cm vs 193 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Tim Hague
Much stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.3 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 35 years vs 40 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 264 lbs vs 255 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Mitrione on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hague’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Mitrione
In 10:25, how much damage will he do? Mitrione Hague
Significant Strikes62
Mitrione's good striking offense may be a factor against Hague's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:25
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mitrione's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Hague's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:25
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mitrione has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Mitrione is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mitrione is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Hague on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mitrione’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Hague
In 10:25, how much damage will he do? Hague Mitrione
Significant Strikes30
Hague's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Mitrione's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:25
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Hague's average takedown offense is matched by Mitrione's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:25
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hague has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hague is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Hague is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mitrione 8.7
fighter Hague 7.9
Great striking by Mitrione
7 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
16 strikes Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague
76 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Beltran

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mitrione 7.3
fighter Hague 8.2
Great takedowns by Hague
1 takedown May 23, 2009 vs Barry

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mitrione 8.8
fighter Hague 8.5
Great knockouts by Mitrione
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
Round 2 Jun 26, 2011 vs Morecraft
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mitrione 8.3
fighter Hague 8.2
Fast finishes by Mitrione
19 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
568 seconds Jun 26, 2011 vs Morecraft
179 seconds Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 22, 2011UFC Fight Night 23
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 KO
1,7111,852
1,7801,783
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mitrione
legend Hague
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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