UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mitrione vs De Fries

1,836

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mitrione

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
58% chance Mitrione
WILL WIN

1,778

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Matt Mitrione
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 6.3 Around 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 255 lbs vs 247 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer winning streak 4 fights vs 3 fights Around 35% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Advantages for Philip De Fries
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 6.8 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 32 years vs 39 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Mitrione on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against De Fries’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Mitrione
In 8:23, how much damage will he do? Mitrione De Fries
Significant Strikes53
Mitrione's good striking offense may be a factor against De Fries's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:23
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Mitrione's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against De Fries's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:23
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mitrione has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Mitrione is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mitrione is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
De Fries on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mitrione’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Philip
De Fries
In 8:23, how much damage will he do? De Fries Mitrione
Significant Strikes29
De Fries's average striking offense is matched by Mitrione's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:23
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
De Fries's average takedown offense is matched by Mitrione's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:23
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
De Fries is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
De Fries has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
De Fries is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mitrione 8.7
fighter De Fries 8.3
Great striking by Mitrione
7 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
16 strikes Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague
76 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Beltran

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mitrione 7.3
fighter De Fries 8.5
Great takedowns by De Fries
2 takedowns Aug 04, 2012 vs Thompson
3 takedowns Nov 05, 2011 vs Broughton

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mitrione 8.8
fighter De Fries 6.3
Great knockouts by Mitrione
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
Round 2 Jun 26, 2011 vs Morecraft
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mitrione 6.8
fighter De Fries 8.6
Great submissions by De Fries
Round 1 Dec 31, 2013 vs Rogers
Round 2 Aug 04, 2012 vs Thompson
Round 2 Jul 02, 2011 vs Economou

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mitrione 8.3
fighter De Fries 8.1
Fast finishes by Mitrione
19 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
568 seconds Jun 26, 2011 vs Morecraft
179 seconds Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 6, 2013UFC on Fuel TV 9
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 SUB
1,7631,790
1,8171,736
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mitrione
legend De Fries
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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