UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gormley vs Struve

1,712

CageRank

WINNER
Struve

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Struve
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stefan Struve
Much taller 213 cm vs 191 cm More than 10% taller
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 191 cm Around 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly harder to hit 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Chase Gormley
Much stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Struve on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gormley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stefan
Struve
In 6:35, how much damage will he do? Struve Gormley
Significant Strikes35
Struve's average striking offense may be a factor against Gormley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 59 Significant Strikes in 6:35
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Struve's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Gormley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:35
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Struve has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Struve is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Struve is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gormley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Struve’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chase
Gormley
In 6:35, how much damage will he do? Gormley Struve
Significant Strikes32
Gormley's average striking offense may be a factor against Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 59 Significant Strikes in 6:35
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gormley's average takedown offense is matched by Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gormley is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gormley is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gormley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Struve 8.4
fighter Gormley 8.3
Great striking by Struve
57 strikes Sep 29, 2012 vs Miocic
47 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Herman
54 strikes Dec 12, 2009 vs Buentello

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Struve 8.1
fighter Gormley 7.2
Great knockouts by Struve
Round 2 Sep 29, 2012 vs Miocic
Round 2 Feb 15, 2012 vs Herman
Round 1 Dec 11, 2010 vs McCorkle

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Struve 8.0
fighter Gormley 6.7
Great submissions by Struve
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 2 Oct 01, 2011 vs Barry
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Gormley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Struve 8.8
fighter Gormley 7.4
Fast finishes by Struve
530 seconds Sep 29, 2012 vs Miocic
65 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
532 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs Herman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 24, 2009UFC 104
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,7791,838
1,7371,879
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Struve
legend Gormley
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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