UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Paulino vs Grant

1,804

CageRank

WINNER
Grant

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
87% chance Grant
WILL WIN

2,138

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. Grant
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 33 years vs 41 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer winning streak 5 fights vs 3 fights More than 65% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Advantages for Julio Paulino
Much heavier 236 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 50% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Grant on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Paulino’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Grant
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Grant Paulino
Significant Strikes85
Grant's excellent striking offense will dominate Paulino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Grant's average takedown offense may be a factor against Paulino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grant is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grant has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grant has a chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Paulino on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grant’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Julio
Paulino
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Paulino Grant
Significant Strikes64
Paulino's average striking offense is matched by Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Paulino's average takedown offense is matched by Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Paulino has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Paulino is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Paulino is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Grant 9.1
fighter Paulino 8.1
Great striking by Grant
26 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
54 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
164 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Dunham

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Grant 8.1
fighter Paulino 8.1
Great takedowns by Grant
3 takedowns May 15, 2012 vs Prater
2 takedowns Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
4 takedowns Sep 25, 2010 vs Paulino

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Grant 7.7
fighter Paulino 8.4
Great knockouts by Paulino
Round 2 Feb 10, 2010 vs Yundt
Round 3 Sep 12, 2009 vs Martin
Round 3 Apr 11, 2007 vs Salanoa

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Grant 8.2
fighter Paulino 7.0
Great submissions by Grant
Round 3 Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Round 2 Oct 03, 2008 vs Petz
Round 3 Jun 21, 2008 vs Reiner

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Grant 8.3
fighter Paulino 7.9
Fast finishes by Grant
127 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
291 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
732 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 25, 2010UFC 119
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 KOX
1,8691,864
1,8181,915
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Grant
legend Paulino
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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