UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Machado vs Leites

1,800

CageRank

WINNER
Leites

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
87% chance Leites
WILL WIN

2,122

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thales Leites
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 7.1 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 36 years vs 42 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Gustavo Machado
From what we can tell, Thales Leites dominates Gustavo Machado in every way.
Leites on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machado’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thales
Leites
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leites is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leites has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Machado on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leites’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gustavo
Machado
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Machado is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Machado is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Machado is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Leites 7.1
fighter Machado 7.0
Great knockouts by Leites
Round 1 Apr 11, 2014 vs Smith
Round 3 Sep 17, 2005 vs Jhun
Round 1 May 29, 2004 vs Linhares

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Leites 8.6
fighter Machado 7.1
Great submissions by Leites
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
Round 1 Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Round 3 Jul 02, 2005 vs Machado

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Leites 8.8
fighter Machado 7.4
Fast finishes by Leites
513 seconds Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
147 seconds May 07, 2010 vs Taylor
227 seconds Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
DECX
1,8921,721
1,8201,794
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Leites
legend Machado
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus