UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Amado vs Alvarez

1,709

CageRank

WINNER
Alvarez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
95% chance Alvarez
WILL WIN

2,231

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Eddie Alvarez
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier 155 lbs vs 153 lbs Almost the same
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Andre Amado
From what we can tell, Eddie Alvarez dominates Andre Amado in every way.
Alvarez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Amado’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eddie
Alvarez
In 7:37, how much damage will he do? Alvarez Amado
Significant Strikes46
Alvarez's good striking offense may be a factor against Amado's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:37
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Alvarez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Amado's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:37
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alvarez has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Alvarez has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Alvarez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Amado on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvarez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andre
Amado
In 7:37, how much damage will he do? Amado Alvarez
Significant Strikes27
Amado's average striking offense is matched by Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:37
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Amado's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:37
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Amado is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Amado is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Amado is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Alvarez 8.7
fighter Amado 8.2
Great striking by Alvarez
20 strikes Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
46 strikes Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri
48 strikes May 11, 2008 vs Hansen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Alvarez 9.2
fighter Amado 7.8
Great takedowns by Alvarez
2 takedowns Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
7 takedowns May 11, 2008 vs Hansen
3 takedowns Mar 15, 2008 vs Amado

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alvarez 8.8
fighter Amado 7.6
Great knockouts by Alvarez
Round 1 Apr 20, 2012 vs Aoki
Round 2 Oct 21, 2010 vs Huerta
Round 1 Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alvarez 8.1
fighter Amado 6.6
Great submissions by Alvarez
Round 2 May 06, 2010 vs Neer
Round 2 Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
Round 2 Jun 19, 2009 vs Imada

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alvarez 8.9
fighter Amado 7.7
Fast finishes by Alvarez
134 seconds Apr 20, 2012 vs Aoki
338 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Imada
455 seconds Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 15, 2008Dream 1
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,8161,939
1,7831,972
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alvarez
legend Amado
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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