UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Fernandes vs Daley

1,903

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
66% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.7 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Advantages for Igor Fernandes
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 6.3 Around 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fernandes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Fernandes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Igor
Fernandes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fernandes is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fernandes has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fernandes is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Fernandes 6.7
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Fernandes 9.0
Great submissions by Fernandes
Round 1 May 15, 2010 vs Wandalen
Round 1 Aug 01, 2009 vs Reni
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Sergio Melo Jr.

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Fernandes 9.0
Fast finishes by Fernandes
165 seconds Apr 16, 2011 vs Henrique Conti
62 seconds Aug 01, 2009 vs Reni
394 seconds Apr 19, 2008 vs Sergio Melo Jr.
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Fernandes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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