UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - dos Santos vs dos Santos

1,915

CageRank

WINNER
dos Santos

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
73% chance dos Santos
WILL WIN

2,091

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Slightly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Geronimo dos Santos
Much heavier 292 lbs vs 239 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
In 10:44, how much damage will he do? dos Santos dos Santos
Significant Strikes79
dos Santos's excellent striking offense will dominate dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:44
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
dos Santos's below average takedown offense is matched by dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:44
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Geronimo
dos Santos
In 10:44, how much damage will he do? dos Santos dos Santos
Significant Strikes33
dos Santos's average striking offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:44
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
dos Santos's average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Santos 9.6
fighter dos Santos 8.3
Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes May 26, 2012 vs Mir
8 strikes Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
70 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Santos 9.2
fighter dos Santos 8.7
Great knockouts by dos Santos
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs Mir
Round 1 Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
Round 1 Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Santos 6.9
fighter dos Santos 6.7
Great submissions by dos Santos
Round 3 Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic
Round 1 Dec 09, 2006 vs Maiorino

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Santos 8.6
fighter dos Santos 8.8
Fast finishes by dos Santos
124 seconds Feb 19, 2011 vs Melo da Silva
61 seconds Oct 17, 2009 vs Silva
300 seconds Jun 26, 2008 vs Pinto da Silva Jr.
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 24, 2008DF - Demo Fight 3
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XSUB
1,6361,657
1,5891,704
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Santos
legend dos Santos
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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