UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Day vs St. Preux

1,712

CageRank

WINNER
St. Preux

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
89% chance St. Preux
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ovince St. Preux
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.5 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.5 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Jason Day
From what we can tell, Ovince St. Preux dominates Jason Day in every way.
St. Preux on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Day’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ovince
St. Preux
In 3:44, how much damage will he do? St. Preux Day
Significant Strikes20
St. Preux's good striking offense may be a factor against Day's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 34 Significant Strikes in 3:44
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
St. Preux's average takedown offense may be a factor against Day's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Preux has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
St. Preux is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Preux is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Day on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Preux’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jason
Day
In 3:44, how much damage will he do? Day St. Preux
Significant Strikes18
Day's average striking offense is matched by St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 34 Significant Strikes in 3:44
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Day's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Day is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Day is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Day is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Preux 8.7
fighter Day 8.6
Great striking by St. Preux
6 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
47 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Villante
82 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Radach

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Preux 8.0
fighter Day 7.9
Great takedowns by St. Preux
2 takedowns Aug 18, 2012 vs Cook
1 takedown Dec 04, 2010 vs Radach
1 takedown Nov 19, 2010 vs Britt

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Preux 8.1
fighter Day 7.5
Great knockouts by St. Preux
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
Round 3 Aug 18, 2012 vs Cook
Round 1 Jul 24, 2010 vs Day

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Preux 7.9
fighter Day 7.6
Great submissions by St. Preux
Round 1 Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
Round 1 Apr 25, 2009 vs Mobley
Round 1 May 17, 2008 vs Cormier

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Preux 9.0
fighter Day 7.9
Fast finishes by St. Preux
127 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
72 seconds Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
8 seconds Jul 24, 2010 vs Day
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 24, 2010EFC 5
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R2 KOX
1,8171,697
1,7501,763
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Preux
legend Day
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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