UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Taylor vs Rockhold

2,022

CageRank

WINNER
Rockhold

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
62% chance Rockhold
WILL WIN

2,108

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Luke Rockhold
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 180 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission defense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Slightly younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly better submission offense 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Jesse Taylor
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.4 More than 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much stronger jaw 9.7 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Rockhold on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Taylor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Rockhold
In 7:30, how much damage will he do? Rockhold Taylor
Significant Strikes34
Rockhold's excellent striking offense will dominate Taylor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 67 Significant Strikes in 7:30
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rockhold's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Taylor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:30
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rockhold is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rockhold has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rockhold is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Taylor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rockhold’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jesse
Taylor
In 7:30, how much damage will he do? Taylor Rockhold
Significant Strikes19
Taylor's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 67 Significant Strikes in 7:30
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Taylor's excellent takedown offense will dominate Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:30
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Taylor is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Taylor has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Taylor is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rockhold 9.1
fighter Taylor 8.0
Great striking by Rockhold
12 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
60 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Kennedy
97 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Souza

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rockhold 7.4
fighter Taylor 9.4
Great takedowns by Taylor
1 takedown Jul 20, 2009 vs Sik Yoon

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rockhold 7.9
fighter Taylor 6.5
Great knockouts by Rockhold
Round 1 Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
Round 1 Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Bradley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rockhold 8.6
fighter Taylor 8.5
Great submissions by Rockhold
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Taylor
Round 1 Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Theotikos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rockhold 9.5
fighter Taylor 8.5
Fast finishes by Rockhold
151 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
266 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
30 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R2 SUBX
1,8621,741
1,7951,808
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rockhold
legend Taylor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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