UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - del Rosario vs Miocic

1,811

CageRank

WINNER
Miocic

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Miocic
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 9.1 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Shane del Rosario
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against del Rosario’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 8:16, how much damage will he do? Miocic del Rosario
Significant Strikes44
Miocic's excellent striking offense will dominate del Rosario's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:16
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Miocic's average takedown offense is matched by del Rosario's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:16
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
del Rosario on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shane
del Rosario
In 8:16, how much damage will he do? del Rosario Miocic
Significant Strikes41
del Rosario's average striking offense is matched by Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:16
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
del Rosario's average takedown offense is matched by Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:16
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
del Rosario has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
del Rosario is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
del Rosario is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter del Rosario 8.5
Great striking by Miocic
63 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
106 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
32 strikes May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miocic 8.7
fighter del Rosario 8.3
Great takedowns by Miocic
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
2 takedowns May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miocic 9.1
fighter del Rosario 8.3
Great knockouts by Miocic
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
Round 1 Feb 16, 2008 vs Stansbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miocic 6.6
fighter del Rosario 7.3
Great submissions by del Rosario
Round 1 Feb 12, 2011 vs Johnson
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Cash
Round 1 Oct 26, 2007 vs Viola

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter del Rosario 8.6
Fast finishes by Miocic
494 seconds May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
43 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
567 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Brents
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 26, 2012UFC 146
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR2 KO
1,9241,977
1,8822,019
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miocic
legend del Rosario
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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