UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Velasquez vs Faber

1,472

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
98% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.1 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.0 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 7.4 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.3 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.0 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Advantages for David Velasquez
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Velasquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 4:31, how much damage will he do? Faber Velasquez
Significant Strikes24
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 41 Significant Strikes in 4:31
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Faber's average takedown offense may be a factor against Velasquez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Velasquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Velasquez
In 4:31, how much damage will he do? Velasquez Faber
Significant Strikes14
Velasquez's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 41 Significant Strikes in 4:31
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Velasquez's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Velasquez is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Velasquez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Velasquez is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Velasquez 8.4
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Velasquez 8.4
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Velasquez 6.0
Great knockouts by Faber
Round 2 Sep 09, 2006 vs Wilson
Round 2 Mar 17, 2006 vs Escovedo
Round 1 Aug 19, 2004 vs Hawkins

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Velasquez 7.1
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Velasquez 7.0
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 KO
1,5531,579
1,5071,625
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Velasquez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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