UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rush vs Morgan

1,490

CageRank

WINNER
Morgan

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
62% chance Morgan
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Much taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 36 years vs 43 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 7.8 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Billy Rush
Significantly heavier 169 lbs vs 164 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rush’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Morgan has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Rush on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Billy
Rush
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rush has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Rush is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rush is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Morgan 6.2
fighter Rush 7.1
Great knockouts by Rush
Round 1 Mar 28, 2003 vs Olephant
Round 1 Oct 19, 2002 vs Hobbes
Round 2 Jul 27, 2002 vs Pearson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Morgan 7.6
fighter Rush 6.8
Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Severson
Round 1 Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Morgan 7.5
fighter Rush 7.3
Fast finishes by Morgan
52 seconds Apr 09, 2005 vs Ludwig
161 seconds Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
178 seconds Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 12, 2003ICC 1
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 SUB
1,6401,680
1,6961,624
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Morgan
legend Rush
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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