UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Castro vs Fukumoto

1,555

CageRank

WINNER
Fukumoto

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
81% chance Fukumoto
WILL WIN

1,803

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Yoichi Fukumoto
Much stronger jaw 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly heavier 153 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Alex Castro
Significantly heavier hands 6.6 vs 6.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fukumoto on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Castro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoichi
Fukumoto
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fukumoto is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Fukumoto has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Fukumoto has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Castro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fukumoto’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alex
Castro
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Castro is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Castro is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Castro is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Fukumoto 6.2
fighter Castro 6.6
Great knockouts by Castro
Round 1 Jul 28, 2006 vs Guerrero
Round 3 Sep 22, 2005 vs Duenas
Round 1 Aug 28, 2004 vs Pangelinan

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Fukumoto 7.8
fighter Castro 7.1
Great submissions by Fukumoto
Round 1 Oct 13, 2013 vs Kishimoto
Round 1 Dec 16, 2011 vs Kondo
Round 2 May 28, 2007 vs Castro

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Fukumoto 7.8
fighter Castro 7.1
Fast finishes by Fukumoto
208 seconds Oct 13, 2013 vs Kishimoto
289 seconds Dec 16, 2011 vs Kondo
300 seconds May 28, 2007 vs Castro
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
DECX
1,5951,489
1,5301,553
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Fukumoto
legend Castro
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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