UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cali vs Smolka

1,596

CageRank

WINNER
Smolka

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
78% chance Smolka
WILL WIN

1,821

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Louis Smolka
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 175 cm vs 165 cm More than 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Ale Cali
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer winning streak 5 fights vs 4 fights 25% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Smolka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cali’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Louis
Smolka
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smolka has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Smolka has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Smolka is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Cali on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smolka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ale
Cali
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cali is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cali is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cali is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smolka 7.3
fighter Cali 7.9
Great knockouts by Cali
Round 3 Nov 17, 2012 vs Tagle
Round 0 Aug 20, 2011 vs Alvarez
Round 1 Aug 22, 2010 vs Parcon

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smolka 7.9
fighter Cali 6.6
Great submissions by Smolka
Round 1 Sep 14, 2013 vs Rafols
Round 3 Feb 16, 2013 vs Cacdac
Round 2 Oct 20, 2012 vs Martin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smolka 7.9
fighter Cali 7.4
Fast finishes by Smolka
412 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Cali
119 seconds Sep 14, 2013 vs Rafols
839 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs Cacdac
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR2 SUB
1,6961,765
1,6561,806
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smolka
legend Cali
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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