UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cacdac vs Caraway

1,768

CageRank

WINNER
Caraway

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
75% chance Caraway
WILL WIN

1,963

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Bryan Caraway
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission defense 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Alvin Cacdac
Much heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.4 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Caraway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cacdac’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bryan
Caraway
In 10:38, how much damage will he do? Caraway Cacdac
Significant Strikes39
Caraway's average striking offense is matched by Cacdac's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Caraway's excellent takedown offense will dominate Cacdac's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:38
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Caraway is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Caraway has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Caraway is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Cacdac on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Caraway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alvin
Cacdac
In 10:38, how much damage will he do? Cacdac Caraway
Significant Strikes41
Cacdac's average striking offense is matched by Caraway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cacdac's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Caraway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cacdac is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cacdac is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cacdac is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Caraway 9.2
fighter Cacdac 8.3
Great takedowns by Caraway
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Bedford
3 takedowns Jul 21, 2012 vs Gagnon
1 takedown Jun 27, 2008 vs Cacdac

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Caraway 6.4
fighter Cacdac 7.5
Great knockouts by Cacdac
Round 2 Aug 24, 2013 vs McCorriston
Round 2 Jun 04, 2010 vs Mercado
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Caraway 9.5
fighter Cacdac 7.7
Great submissions by Caraway
Round 3 Apr 27, 2013 vs Bedford
Round 3 Jul 21, 2012 vs Gagnon
Round 1 Feb 19, 2011 vs Weikel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Caraway 8.3
fighter Cacdac 8.1
Fast finishes by Caraway
884 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Bedford
197 seconds Feb 19, 2011 vs Weikel
235 seconds Oct 03, 2009 vs Pelczynski
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,6201,884
1,6021,902
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Caraway
legend Cacdac
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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