UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cacdac vs Smolka

1,768

CageRank

WINNER
Smolka

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Smolka
WILL WIN

1,821

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Louis Smolka
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Alvin Cacdac
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.3 Almost the same
Smolka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cacdac’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Louis
Smolka
In 12:06, how much damage will he do? Smolka Cacdac
Significant Strikes53
Smolka's average striking offense is matched by Cacdac's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:06
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Smolka's average takedown offense may be a factor against Cacdac's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smolka is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smolka has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Smolka is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Cacdac on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smolka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alvin
Cacdac
In 12:06, how much damage will he do? Cacdac Smolka
Significant Strikes52
Cacdac's average striking offense is matched by Smolka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:06
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Cacdac's average takedown offense may be a factor against Smolka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cacdac is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cacdac has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cacdac is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Smolka 8.5
fighter Cacdac 8.2
Great striking by Smolka
92 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Ozkilic

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smolka 7.3
fighter Cacdac 7.5
Great knockouts by Cacdac
Round 2 Aug 24, 2013 vs McCorriston
Round 2 Jun 04, 2010 vs Mercado
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smolka 7.9
fighter Cacdac 7.7
Great submissions by Smolka
Round 1 Sep 14, 2013 vs Rafols
Round 3 Feb 16, 2013 vs Cacdac
Round 2 Oct 20, 2012 vs Martin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smolka 7.9
fighter Cacdac 8.1
Fast finishes by Cacdac
338 seconds Oct 25, 2013 vs Jones
499 seconds Aug 24, 2013 vs McCorriston
192 seconds Aug 14, 2010 vs Bowen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
R2 SUBX
1,7461,662
1,6841,724
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smolka
legend Cacdac
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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