UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maldonado vs Emelianenko

1,903

CageRank

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

2,189

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.7 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Fabio Maldonado
Younger 37 years vs 40 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Heavier 227 lbs vs 222 lbs Almost the same
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maldonado’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 7:58, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Maldonado
Significant Strikes50
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Maldonado's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 7:58
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Emelianenko's average takedown offense is matched by Maldonado's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Maldonado on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabio
Maldonado
In 7:58, how much damage will he do? Maldonado Emelianenko
Significant Strikes23
Maldonado's good striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 7:58
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Maldonado's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:58
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maldonado is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maldonado is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maldonado is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Maldonado 8.8
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Maldonado 7.9
Great takedowns by Emelianenko
4 takedowns Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
5 takedowns Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
1 takedown Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Maldonado 7.8
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Maldonado 6.6
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Maldonado 7.7
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 17, 2016EFN 50
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Maldonado
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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