UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Teixeira vs Jones

2,168

CageRank

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
77% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,377

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 192 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.9 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 29 years vs 37 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Better submission offense 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Slightly stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Glover Teixeira
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Teixeira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jones Teixeira
Significant Strikes98
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate Teixeira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Jones's excellent takedown offense is matched by Teixeira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Teixeira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Glover
Teixeira
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Teixeira Jones
Significant Strikes67
Teixeira's excellent striking offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Teixeira's excellent takedown offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Teixeira has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Teixeira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Teixeira is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Teixeira 9.4
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Teixeira 9.3
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Teixeira 9.0
Great knockouts by Teixeira
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
Round 2 Oct 13, 2012 vs Maldonado
Round 2 Jul 20, 2011 vs Cruz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Teixeira 8.0
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Teixeira 9.5
Fast finishes by Teixeira
175 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
158 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
118 seconds Nov 27, 2011 vs Rodriguez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 26, 2014UFC 172
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Teixeira
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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