UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Teixeira vs Bader

2,168

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Teixeira

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
63% chance Teixeira
WILL WIN

2,073

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Glover Teixeira
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.6 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 192 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Ryan Bader
Significantly harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Teixeira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bader’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Glover
Teixeira
In 7:22, how much damage will he do? Teixeira Bader
Significant Strikes36
Teixeira's excellent striking offense is matched by Bader's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 66 Significant Strikes in 7:22
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Teixeira's excellent takedown offense is matched by Bader's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:22
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Teixeira has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Teixeira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Teixeira is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Bader on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Teixeira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Bader
In 7:22, how much damage will he do? Bader Teixeira
Significant Strikes35
Bader's good striking offense may be a factor against Teixeira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 66 Significant Strikes in 7:22
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bader's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Teixeira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bader is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bader is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bader has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Teixeira 9.4
fighter Bader 8.7
Great striking by Teixeira
14 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
12 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
80 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Teixeira 9.3
fighter Bader 8.7
Great takedowns by Teixeira
1 takedown Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
1 takedown May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
5 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Teixeira 9.0
fighter Bader 7.6
Great knockouts by Teixeira
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
Round 2 Oct 13, 2012 vs Maldonado
Round 2 Jul 20, 2011 vs Cruz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Teixeira 8.0
fighter Bader 7.4
Great submissions by Teixeira
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Kingsbury
Round 1 Nov 27, 2011 vs Rodriguez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Teixeira 9.5
fighter Bader 8.1
Fast finishes by Teixeira
175 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
158 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
118 seconds Nov 27, 2011 vs Rodriguez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
2,1662,033
2,1982,001
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Teixeira
legend Bader
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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