UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Teixeira vs Cruz

2,168

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Teixeira

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Teixeira
WILL WIN

1,865

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Glover Teixeira
Better striker 9.4 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.2 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly younger 37 years vs 39 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Marcio Cruz
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 197 cm vs 192 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Better submission offense 8.2 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Teixeira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cruz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Glover
Teixeira
In 7:03, how much damage will he do? Teixeira Cruz
Significant Strikes41
Teixeira's excellent striking offense will dominate Cruz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:03
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Teixeira's excellent takedown offense will dominate Cruz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:03
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Teixeira has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Teixeira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Teixeira is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Cruz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Teixeira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marcio
Cruz
In 7:03, how much damage will he do? Cruz Teixeira
Significant Strikes27
Cruz's average striking offense is matched by Teixeira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:03
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cruz's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Teixeira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cruz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cruz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cruz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Teixeira 9.4
fighter Cruz 8.4
Great striking by Teixeira
14 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
12 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
80 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Teixeira 9.3
fighter Cruz 8.2
Great takedowns by Teixeira
1 takedown Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
1 takedown May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
5 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Teixeira 9.0
fighter Cruz 7.3
Great knockouts by Teixeira
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
Round 2 Oct 13, 2012 vs Maldonado
Round 2 Jul 20, 2011 vs Cruz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Teixeira 8.0
fighter Cruz 8.2
Great submissions by Cruz
Round 2 Nov 02, 2012 vs Yager
Round 1 Apr 03, 2010 vs Yost
Round 1 Jun 08, 2008 vs Bae Choi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Teixeira 9.5
fighter Cruz 8.1
Fast finishes by Teixeira
175 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
158 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
118 seconds Nov 27, 2011 vs Rodriguez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R2 KOX
1,9321,874
1,9741,832
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Teixeira
legend Cruz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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