UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Morgan vs Ritch

1,576

CageRank

WINNER
Ritch

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
56% chance Ritch
WILL WIN

1,620

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shannon Ritch
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier 205 lbs vs 164 lbs 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Significantly younger 36 years vs 47 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 6.2 vs 6.0 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Ritch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shannon
Ritch
In 7:06, how much damage will he do? Ritch Morgan
Significant Strikes36
Ritch's average striking offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:06
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Ritch's average takedown offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ritch is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ritch has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ritch is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ritch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
In 7:06, how much damage will he do? Morgan Ritch
Significant Strikes26
Morgan's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Ritch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:06
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Morgan's average takedown offense may be a factor against Ritch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Morgan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ritch 6.0
fighter Morgan 6.2
Great knockouts by Morgan
Round 1 Apr 09, 2005 vs Ludwig
Round 1 Jul 05, 2002 vs Henery
Round 2 Jul 15, 2001 vs Pond

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ritch 8.0
fighter Morgan 7.6
Great submissions by Ritch
Round 1 Jun 11, 2004 vs Guthmiller
Round 1 Nov 09, 2002 vs Lansing
Round 1 Aug 08, 1999 vs Harris

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ritch 8.1
fighter Morgan 7.5
Fast finishes by Ritch
96 seconds Jun 11, 2004 vs Guthmiller
55 seconds Nov 09, 2002 vs Lansing
13 seconds Aug 08, 1999 vs Harris
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 19, 2006KOTC - The Return
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R3 SUBX
1,6831,444
1,7031,424
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ritch
legend Morgan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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