UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Morgan vs Kirk

1,576

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Morgan

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
65% chance Morgan
WILL WIN

1,467

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.2 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly heavier 164 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Tom Kirk
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 7.9 vs 7.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 6.4 vs 6.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kirk’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Morgan has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Kirk on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tom
Kirk
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kirk is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Kirk is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Kirk is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Morgan 6.2
fighter Kirk 6.4
Great knockouts by Kirk
Round 0 Jun 06, 2003 vs Pearson
Round 1 Feb 01, 2003 vs McCall
Round 1 Jan 11, 2003 vs Geraghty

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Morgan 7.6
fighter Kirk 6.2
Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Severson
Round 1 Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Morgan 7.5
fighter Kirk 6.6
Fast finishes by Morgan
52 seconds Apr 09, 2005 vs Ludwig
161 seconds Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
178 seconds Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 18, 2003ICC 2
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,6861,542
1,7161,512
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Morgan
legend Kirk
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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