UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Schilling vs Ferguson

1,425

CageRank

WINNER
Ferguson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
96% chance Ferguson
WILL WIN

1,986

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tony Ferguson
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 6.9 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.1 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 8.4 vs 6.5 Around 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 6.9 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly better submission offense 7.2 vs 7.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Joe Schilling
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Ferguson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Schilling’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Ferguson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferguson has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ferguson has a chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Ferguson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Schilling on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferguson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Schilling
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Schilling is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Schilling is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Schilling is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Schilling 6.9
Great knockouts by Ferguson
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem
Round 4 Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ferguson 7.2
fighter Schilling 7.1
Great submissions by Ferguson
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
Round 1 Jan 04, 2009 vs Park
Round 2 Sep 13, 2008 vs Schilling

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Schilling 7.1
Fast finishes by Ferguson
112 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
300 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
1055 seconds Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 13, 2008TFA 12
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,5111,585
1,4721,625
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ferguson
legend Schilling
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus