UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oleynik vs Santos

2,070

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Oleynik

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
82% chance Oleynik
WILL WIN

1,810

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexey Oleynik
Much better submission offense 10.0 vs 7.8 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.3 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Thiago Santos
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 239 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly younger 30 years vs 39 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Oleynik on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexey
Oleynik
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oleynik is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Oleynik has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Oleynik is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oleynik’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Santos
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Santos is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Oleynik 6.1
fighter Santos 6.8
Great knockouts by Santos
Round 1 May 13, 2010 vs dos Santos
Round 1 Oct 16, 2007 vs Guarabya

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Oleynik 10.0
fighter Santos 7.8
Great submissions by Oleynik
Round 1 Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
Round 2 Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
Round 3 Apr 20, 2013 vs Lopez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Oleynik 9.4
fighter Santos 8.3
Fast finishes by Oleynik
282 seconds Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
508 seconds Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
129 seconds Nov 10, 2007 vs Kulak
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,9741,725
1,9931,706
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Oleynik
legend Santos
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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