UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oleynik vs Sonnen

2,070

CageRank

WINNER
Sonnen

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
59% chance Sonnen
WILL WIN

2,132

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chael Sonnen
Much heavier hands 7.4 vs 6.1 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Alexey Oleynik
Much better submission offense 10.0 vs 7.5 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.7 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 239 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Sonnen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oleynik’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chael
Sonnen
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sonnen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sonnen is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sonnen has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Oleynik on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sonnen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexey
Oleynik
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oleynik is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oleynik has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oleynik is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sonnen 7.4
fighter Oleynik 6.1
Great knockouts by Sonnen
Round 2 Jul 14, 2007 vs Suloev
Round 1 Aug 22, 2006 vs Credeur
Round 1 Feb 26, 2005 vs Ryan

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sonnen 7.5
fighter Oleynik 10.0
Great submissions by Oleynik
Round 1 Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
Round 2 Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
Round 3 Apr 20, 2013 vs Lopez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sonnen 8.1
fighter Oleynik 9.4
Fast finishes by Oleynik
282 seconds Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
508 seconds Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
129 seconds Nov 10, 2007 vs Kulak
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 KO
1,8231,865
1,7791,909
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sonnen
legend Oleynik
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus