UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oleynik vs Lopez

2,070

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Oleynik

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
84% chance Oleynik
WILL WIN

1,780

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexey Oleynik
Much better submission offense 10.0 vs 7.6 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.6 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 40 years vs 44 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Tony Lopez
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 6.1 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 196 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 10.0 vs 8.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Oleynik on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lopez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexey
Oleynik
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oleynik is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oleynik has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oleynik is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Lopez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oleynik’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Lopez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lopez is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lopez is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lopez is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Oleynik 6.1
fighter Lopez 7.8
Great knockouts by Lopez
Round 4 Dec 15, 2011 vs Jones
Round 2 Aug 14, 2010 vs Lambert
Round 1 Sep 15, 2007 vs Kingsbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Oleynik 10.0
fighter Lopez 7.7
Great submissions by Oleynik
Round 1 Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
Round 2 Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
Round 3 Apr 20, 2013 vs Lopez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Oleynik 9.4
fighter Lopez 7.9
Fast finishes by Oleynik
282 seconds Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
508 seconds Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
129 seconds Nov 10, 2007 vs Kulak
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,9041,820
1,9421,782
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Oleynik
legend Lopez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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