UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oleynik vs Cormier

2,070

CageRank

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
72% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

2,234

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.1 Around 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly younger 39 years vs 41 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Alexey Oleynik
Much better submission offense 10.0 vs 8.0 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.8 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 234 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oleynik’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Oleynik on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexey
Oleynik
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oleynik is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oleynik has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oleynik is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Oleynik 6.1
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Oleynik 10.0
Great submissions by Oleynik
Round 1 Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
Round 2 Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
Round 3 Apr 20, 2013 vs Lopez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Oleynik 9.4
Fast finishes by Oleynik
282 seconds Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
508 seconds Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
129 seconds Nov 10, 2007 vs Kulak
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Oleynik
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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