UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oleynik vs Alfaya

2,070

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Oleynik

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
78% chance Oleynik
WILL WIN

1,849

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexey Oleynik
Much better submission offense 10.0 vs 7.2 Around 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier 239 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 40% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.1 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Marcelo Alfaya
Much heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.1 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Oleynik on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alfaya’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexey
Oleynik
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oleynik is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Oleynik has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oleynik is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Alfaya on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oleynik’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marcelo
Alfaya
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alfaya is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alfaya is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alfaya is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Oleynik 6.1
fighter Alfaya 7.3
Great knockouts by Alfaya
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Araujo
Round 1 Apr 17, 2009 vs Gorczynski
Round 3 May 06, 2005 vs Andraus

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Oleynik 10.0
fighter Alfaya 7.2
Great submissions by Oleynik
Round 1 Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
Round 2 Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
Round 3 Apr 20, 2013 vs Lopez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Oleynik 9.4
fighter Alfaya 7.7
Fast finishes by Oleynik
282 seconds Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
508 seconds Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
129 seconds Nov 10, 2007 vs Kulak
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
R2 SUBX
1,7551,720
1,8001,675
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Oleynik
legend Alfaya
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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