UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oleynik vs Nurmagomedov

2,070

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Oleynik

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance Oleynik
WILL WIN

1,834

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexey Oleynik
Much better submission offense 10.0 vs 7.3 Around 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.6 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 239 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Shamil Nurmagomedov
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.1 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Oleynik on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexey
Oleynik
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oleynik is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Oleynik has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oleynik is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oleynik’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shamil
Nurmagomedov
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Oleynik 6.1
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
Great knockouts by Nurmagomedov
Round 2 May 18, 2013 vs Tkeshelashvili
Round 2 Feb 13, 2010 vs Terezimov
Round 1 Oct 30, 2009 vs Nikiforec

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Oleynik 10.0
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.3
Great submissions by Oleynik
Round 1 Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
Round 2 Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
Round 3 Apr 20, 2013 vs Lopez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Oleynik 9.4
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
Fast finishes by Oleynik
282 seconds Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
508 seconds Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
129 seconds Nov 10, 2007 vs Kulak
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 20, 2007LF - Legion Fight 1
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R3 SUBX
1,7791,500
1,7961,483
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Oleynik
legend Nurmagomedov
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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